Saturday, January 10, 2009

Positive Risk Strategies

Corrective action in Positive Risk Strategy:
  • Risk Exploitation
    - Used when a project team wants to make sure that a positive risk is fully realized
    - Done by hiring the best experts in a field or ensuring the most technologically advanced resources are available to the project team.

  • Risk Sharing
    - Entails partnering up with another party in an effort to give your team the best chance of seizing the opportunity.
    - Joint ventures are a common example of risk sharing.

  • Risk Enhancement
    - increase the probability that an opportunity will occur.
    - Done by focusing on the trigger conditions of the opportunity and trying to optimise their chances of occurrence.

Friday, January 9, 2009

Negative Risk Strategies

Preventive Action in Negative Risk Strategies include:
  • Risk avoidance
    Attempts to eliminate the risk altogether.

  • Risk Transference
    Passes the liability of a risk to another party.

  • Risk Mitigation
    Reduces the probability and/or impact of the occurences of a risk event.

Introducing Risk Response Planning

Risk Response Planning is:
  • the process of examing each risk and corresponding resonse alteratives
  • determining which response will improve the likelihood of a positive outcome.

Sunday, December 28, 2008

Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis: Output (in terms on PMP)

Risk Register Updates:

  • Prioritized list of quantified risks
    What are the risks that most likely to cause trouble? That needs the most contingency?

  • Amount of contingency and cost reserves needed.

  • Possible realistic and achievable completion date and project costs with confidence level versus the cost oand time objective for the project.

  • The quantified probability of meeting project objectives.

  • Trends in quantified risk analysis.

Decision Tree Analysis

Decision Tree Analysis
  • is an assessment of the data obtained using the decision tree method to evalute various possible outcomes.
  • allows decision-makers to factor in both probability and impact for each branch of every decision under consideration.
  • indicates the decision that will provide the greatest expected value when all the uncertain implications, costs, rewards and subsequent decisions are quantified.

Suggested Study Materials

  • PMP-Preparation Recommended Books
  • PMP Exam Prep, Fifth Edition: Rita's Course in a Book for Passing the PMP Exam
  • A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, Third Edition (PMBOK Guides)
  • The PMP Exam: How to Pass On Your First Try (Test Prep series)